[START OF LECTURE]
PETER THIEL
All right, thank you.
I think that's probably a compliment, since in that world I think Palpatine is at least reasonably competent and pretty
high on that scale. Last time I talked about Daniel 12:4—“knowledge shall be increased in the end times.” Tonight I will
explore the other half of this prophecy, that “many shall run to and fro,” which I read, much like Francis Bacon did, as a
prophecy about globalization, empire, and the dangers of a one-world state. This will naturally lead us to a discussion of
the Katechon, the mysterious force that restrains the Antichrist from Paul's Second Epistle to the Thessalonians.
Before I get into the meat of today's lecture, I want to recap this big theme from last week about the relationship
between science, technology, and history. I always want to leave you with a sense of history. That history is one of the
great things of the Judeo-Christian inspiration. We live in a world in late modernity, which is very different from early
modernity. In early modernity, utopian scientists like Francis Bacon believed that science had this anti-Christian vibe to it
and that perhaps the church was holding back science.
In late modernity, where science has become scary and apocalyptic, and the legionnaires of the Antichrist like Eliezer
Yudkowsky, Nick Bostrom, and Greta Thunberg argue for world government to stop science, the Antichrist has
somehow become anti-science.
You can give this a timeless and eternal gloss on it: in all times and all places, people want to always scapegoat the
Christian God for our problems. In early modernity, the Christian God was blamed for holding back science. In late
modernity, as the project has gotten scary and dangerous in some ways, the Christian God is blamed for accelerating it.
I’ve argued it’s not the fault of the Christian God or the fault of science and technology; it’s probably some vowel deep
problems that lie in ourselves.
There’s a lot of complicated nuance to this. There's all sorts of figures that are still “early modern” or “late modern.”
There's way you can think of Richard Dawkins the evolutionary biologist as a pro-science, anti-Christian person—you
can think of him as a fossil from 1780. The vibe of late modernity is drive much more by Oppenheimer than Edward
Teller—effective altruists and people like that. And the part that's confusing is, sometimes in a single lifetime, people
shift from early modern to late modern. There's a way that the Eliezer Yudkowsky of 2005 was a transhumanist, utopian
—Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality. The Eliezer Yudkowsky of 2025 is late-modern: dystopian, luddite: “If
anyone builds it, everyone dies.”
It's almost like you need a worldwide government to stop all the wizards”working on computer technology—it is anti-
anyone who’s like Harry Potter. There are all sorts of variations on this. My fiercest critics on life-extension technology
are liberal atheists: they say it's unnatural to live too long. It goes against the environment, or maybe it will bankrupt the
quasi-socialist healthcare system, or things like this. There is this way in which the feel of history has just changed.
I want to get at this transformation in history through another lens. This is always...what are some of the signs of the
apocalypse? Will it be in the newspaper? Can we identify the Antichrist? Maybe it's hard to do in the present and it's
always sort of controversial. But can you at least identify the Antichrist in literature. I'm going to try to illustrate this
change in history through these four books. There's these four quadrants they map onto.
The early modern, pro-science, anti-Christian: Francis Bacon’s New Atlantis. The anti-science, pro-Christian rebuttal
one hundred years later is Gulliver’s Travels by Jonathan Swift. When we get to late modernity, the quadrants are
inverted. You have an anti-science, anti-Christian in Alan Moore’s Watchmen, and the pro-science, pro-Christian one is
the other quadrant.
I could probably spend an hour going through all of these books, so I'm going to do a 15-minute super-fast riff on these
four books.
Francis Bacon sets a course for modernity. Most Bacon scholars believe he was a heterodox Christian, it was who he
pretended to be. But if you read New Atlantis, it's a Utopian story. It was too dangerous to publish in his lifetime. It was
quite literally anti-Christian. Unlike Old Atlantis, the New Atlantis has overcome the laws of nature, it can overcome the
gods. It weather's natural disasters with technology. They control the weather. It's transcended the classical cyclical
model of history.
And it's set on this ship that sails west from Peru, it gets into a storm, they crash in the island. As the story unfolds, it
has a lot of creepy vibes where, later on you want to control the weather, so was it really a natural storm or not? And
there's a mysterious thing called the College of the Six Days’ Works or Solomon's house that creates Bensalem, the
name of the island... technology. It's of course ambiguous word, College of the Six Days’ Works. Are the scientists
honoring God's works, mimicking them or perhaps succeeding them? And King Solomon, we'll come back to him later.
The other namesake for the institute and the wisest man in the Old Testament. It's also an ambiguous figure. He had
hundreds of foreign wives and even Dante doubted whether he was ultimately saved.
And then the sort of rough spoiler. It is this fantastical scientific island. It is both Bacon's dream for modernity and be
literally run by the Antichrist. There's this one character Jobin, who's a Jew from one of the lost tribes of Israel. The
narrator probably introduces him as the Chaplin of the ship, The Priest. And he discovers that Joabin is Jewish and
circumcised, sort of a fulfillment of the prophecy of Daniel 11:37 about the Antichrist. He's from the lost tribe of Israel.
Bensalem would mean son of peace, son of safety. The slogan of the Antichrist 1 Thessalonians 5:30. It is a
cornucopian society that refutes Matthew 26:11: for you shall have the poor with you always. It's cornucopian. There are
towers that are taller than the Tower of Babel. Nothing happens.
And then the story ends with this description of the vast scientific apparatus that Bensalem controls. Including weapons
more powerful than any...there's this island sort of in the South Pacific that's sort of the antipode of Jerusalem. It's the
anti-Jerusalem. It's somewhere between Tahiti and New Zealand.
The Old Atlantis story in Plato's Timaeus, it's unfinished, but the unfinished part is a speech by the god Zeus explaining
why the Old Atlantis was destroyed. The New Atlantis, the ending that's not included, is a new action. Where the pro-
science Antichrist is going to conquer the world with science. And the Chaplin gets converted into the Church of the
Antichrist. He becomes sort of a false prophet. And so it's a short leap from empiricism to empire. Large bounds of
empire as far as possible.
One of the interesting things about Bacon is that Hobbes was Bacon's secretary. And he writes this book on how you
can have a new, reformed government called Leviathan. And there's all sorts of details one can go on this, but if you
think of it, it was like the two of them talked to each other. Hobbes knew what Bacon was trying to do. He had a plan for
the Antichrist and then Hobbes sort of provides the mechanisms.
Again, a medieval painting of the Antichrist riding on Leviathan to take over the world. It has all these anti-Christian
images. The Leviathan is all these people, many in one or something like this. It's maybe a riff on 1 Corinthians 12:12:
for as the body is one has many members and all the members of that one body being many are one body, so also is
Christ.
Here, sort of, the state replaces the church. So that's sort of the pro-science early modernity. You think Jonathan Swift
writes Gulliver's Travels about 100 years later. Swift is sort of an Anglican preacher. He's somewhat anti-science and it
sort of has these anti-Bacon riffs. People always focus on the first two voyages to Lilliput and Brobdingnag. But the third
and fourth voyages are to the distant future. Voyage three is sort of a distant future where it's a flying island that's sort of
controlled by science. And sort of run by the Antichrist king, blots out the sun and threatens to crush his people's cities.
Isaiah 14:14, I will send them the heights of the clouds. It's sort of an allusion to the Antichrist.
And then there's sort of a parody of the College of the Six Days’ Works. From Bacon's the Academy of Lagado where
the science is mostly bad, it just doesn't work. Gulliver who's gullible, you shouldn't trust anything Gulliver says. He
meets a scientist trying to draw sunlight out of cucumbers. Struldbrugs with long life spans but they're sort of very
unhealthy, suffering from dementia. And that the whole country lies miserably waste, the houses and ruins, the people
without food or clothes. It's all going to this useless science that just doesn't work.
Voyage four is to Queenham land. It's a land governed by horse philosophers. Psalm 32:9: be not as the horse. This is
sort of the philosophers who reason without faith. And the Queenhams are enslaving, hunting and exterminating the
humans, the Yahoos. The Yahoos are the followers of Yahweh. They are Christians enduring the great tribulation. And
there's sort of this constant debate the horses have whether they should just exterminate all the Yahoos once and for
all. And presumably that happens at some point.
This is sort of the other quadrant. But now when we fast forward—this is again the feel of how late modernity is different
—when we fast forward 250 years to Watchmen, which is set on an alternate Earth in the 1980s. It's the Cold War. No
one talks about the Antichrist; everyone fears the apocalypse. In this alternative world, there are superheroes that
heighten the stakes. The plot follows that someone is murdering the superheroes one by one. Dr. Manhattan is sort of
the synthesis of AI and a nuclear weapon. And there's a superhero named Ozymandias—“king of kings,” Alexander the
Great and Ramesses II, types of the Antichrist—and he's the opposite of Francis Bacon. He wants to stop apocalyptic
science and tech, but he still believes he can conquer chance.
And what he does, you can sort of see on the right slide, is he stages a fake alien invasion in New York. Where this fake
squid monster kills lots and lots of people, and that scares everyone and the Russians and Americans put aside their
differences; it ends the Cold War. It's strangely adjacent to the Carl Schmitt idea in The Concept of the Political that
humanity cannot come together for political because it is not....at least not on this planet, so invent space aliens.
Of course, there are a lot of nuances. The antihero Ozymandias, the Antichrist-type figure is sort of an early-modern
person. He believes this will be a timeless and eternal solution—eternal world peace. Moore is sort of a late-modern. In
early modernity, you have ideal solutions, "perfect" solutions to calculus. In late modernity, things are sort of
probabilistic. And at some point, he asks Dr. Manhattan whether the world government is going to last. And he says that
"nothing lasts forever." So you embrace the Antichrist and it still doesn't work.
I’ll give credit to my Gen-X person, Sam Wolfe—how many people here have heard of One Piece? This is an epic
Japanese manga series. Something like over 520 million copies of magazines have sold. There are more Reddit fans
on it than Star Wars or Harry Potter. And it's basically if...if in Watchmen, we make the argument for the Antichrist being
five minutes before midnight. Five minutes before a nuclear war starts. In One Piece, you are set in a fantasy world
again an alternate earth, but it's 800 years into the reign of this One World state. Which, as the story unfolds, gradually
gets darker and darker.
You realize...in my interpretation is that who runs the world is something like the Antichrist. There's Luffy, is the pirate
who wears a red straw hat, sort of like Christ's crown of thorns. And then towards the end of the story, it transforms into
a figure who resembles Christ in Revelation. Where it's sort of...1:14, "His head and his hairs were white as wool, as
white as snow and his eyes were as a flame of fire." Sort of the elder of days. And then he proceeds to kill Kaidu, the
dragon. "The dragon was cast out that old serpent called the devil." Revelation 12:9. And then he kills Big Mom, the
whore of Babylon, this cannabalistic woman in the One Piece story. Revelation 17:6, I saw the woman drunken with the
blood of the saints.
Eventually, you figure out that the ruler of the One World government is this guy Nerona Imu. So like Nero. And Imu,
beast from the sea. The undercurrent of this is: you have a world government that suppresses science because it
knows science is too dangerous. There's this past where science was more advanced. At some point, they execute a
scientist who resembles Einstein. And so science is too dangerous. You need the totalitarian One World state to stop it.
There is this way in late modernity that the Antichrist theme hasn't gone away, but it's somehow been relegated to the
margins. It's sort of funny, ironic that you get a Christian account of the end times from the not-very-Christian Japan, the
only place where nuclear bombs were used. And you have to somehow get back to the future and make the anti-
Antichrist argument from the point of view of a world where he's been in control for 800 years.
Recapping the argument. From early modernity to late modernity. There's rapid tech progress in early modernity. Tech
stagnation, although even the tech that you have is still too scary. Tech relieves man's estate, even the limited parts we
have is too scary. Optimism has given way to apocalypticism. World government is a distant hope. World government
an immediate necessity. And then that sort of early modernity where you try to integrate and unite knowledge to late
modernity where everything is fragmented.
Now let's go on to "many shall run to and fro and knowledge shall be increased." It means science progressing,
technology improving, globalization, people traveling around the world. Of course in some sense, I think these
things...I'm not sure they're completely inevitable, but there is some direction to it. Where there's a linear progression of
knowledge and something like globalization that happens. But of course, the details matter a lot. Knowledge increasing,
science progressing, technology improving can be a very good thing. No disease, death, protect people from natural
disasters. Then of course we can destroy ourselves with nuclear weapons, bioweapons, etc. And similarly, globalization
is...you have trade in goods and services. There's certain ways to escape from tyrannical governments. And of course
there is danger in the One World state of the Antichrist.
One of the kinds of questions we had a little bit of a riff on, Cold War II or World War III in the last lecture, where we
know World War III, or any war involving thermonuclear weapons, will be unjust. But then the risk is, we try for peace at
any cost, which makes us think much less hard about whether we end up with an unjust peace. Similarly with
globalization, it's very hard to come up with any picture of the world where globalization gets fully rolled back. This is not
supposed to be an anti-globalization argument simply. But the risk, just like we avoid unjust war at all costs, if we avoid
anti-globalization at all costs, we end up with unreflective, most likely very bad forms of globalization.
Then of course, you can ask: how is it entangled with technology? Does it distract us? Does it come about through the
technology, the early modern thing. Or is it justified by the desire to control science and tech? The lecture title is End of
Empire, which again, end is always this dual Hegelian sense of culmination and termination. What is the purpose of the
world state and of the empire? In a Christian account, I think it's quite dual. The empire is both providential and
demonic. Christ is born into the Roman Empire. So somehow it's easy to communicate and spread the good word. But
then, there's always a way to reach trinitarianism. Christ is the son of God and so a rebuke of Caesar Augustus. Caesar
is not...Augustus is not the son of the divine Caesar. The Roman Empire is not simply God's will.
There's sort of a way the Great Commission gets fulfilled with the roads grown felt. But then you also have Satan's
temptation in the desert, where he offers Christ all the kingdoms of the world. It would not be a temptation if in some
sense, the kingdoms of the world were not under Satan's control or somehow linked to it. Then of course, there are all
sorts of passages that cut in complicated ways, both ways. There's Romans 13:1-2, "let every soul be subject to the
higher powers for there's no power but of God. Powers that are ordained of God. Whatsoever therefore resist the power
resist the ordinance of God." This is a non-Libertarian verse, I don't like it. And the other side is something like the
Lord's Prayer, "Thy will be done on earth as it is in heaven. A daily reminder that God's will is done always in heaven,
rarely on earth."
One of the early Antichrist accounts was written in the 10th century by Adso, this monk who collects all these things.
There's this genre of literature in the Middle Ages, the life of saints. And there's a sub-genre of the lives of very evil
people, which is also kind of interesting. So there's a life of Antichrist that he writes around 960, 970 AD. And one of the
dramatic, really clumsy, silly plot devices, is: just before the Antichrist comes, you have this emperor of the last days,
the last Roman emperor. "Some our learned men say that one of the kings of the Franks will success to the Roman
Empire. He'll be the last time and the great and the last of all kings."
There's this dramatic...it's almost the case that Christianity encompasses the whole world and then it collapses and the
Antichrist takes over. There's a way in which this is just a silly plot device, but we should think there's some deep logic,
where maybe, the expanding empire is healthy and then, once the empire is completed, it's very, very dangerous. By
something like this, you could say it about every company. It's healthy when it grows, when it stops growing, you better
watch out.
One other kind of gloss on the ambiguous place of empire in Christian thought is looking at Schmitt's three conceptions
in Christian history. He presents these as the Great Parallel, the Katechon, and the Epimetheus. I'm going to explain
why these are in some sense the three comprehensive ideas.
So, the first Christian, big picture conception of the meaning of history is the Great Parallel. And it's basically
understanding our current moment with reference to the fall of the Roman Empire. You know, the end of the world is like
the end of Rome. The problem, if you just believe this one is, you retreat into your prayer group, sort of the Benedict
option. You got into something monastic and if you're just retreating into the past, in effects it ends up being completely
accelerationist to all that's necessary.
So yeah, the first one is this Great Parallel. The second conception that we're going to unpack a lot more is the
Katechon. This is a mysterious restrainer from 2nd Thessalonians 2:6-7, "this unnamed force that restrained the
Antichrist." In some ways, it's even more mysterious than the Antichrist. St. Augustine claims that he's at a complete
loss as to what Paul's meaning is in the city of man. But, St. Augustine may have been at a loss, but maybe that's what
he had to say because many theologians like Tertullian had identified the Katechon simply with the Roman Empire.
And the Roman Empire believed in Roma Eterna. It was going to last forever. And so, if the Katechon is a temporary
thing that restraints the Antichrist for the time being, perhaps it's just a code word for the Roman Empire, because it
would have been politically incorrect to suggest that Rome wouldn't last forever. In some ways, we can go a lot further
than Augustine today because there's a lot of history that's happened.
I sort of outline a few different ways to interpret it. There's sort of a Calvinist/preterist view where the Katechon/
Antichrist are in the past. Claudius, the good emperor, was the Katechon. He gives way to Nero, a type of the Antichrist.
But in the preterist view, the actual, final Antichrist in the Book of Revelation describes events that happened in the
past.
A lot of these 16th century Protestants, the Lutherans, the Anglicans, believe that the Roman Empire was the Katechon.
And when it ends in 476 AD, the Catholic Church becomes the new Rome and the papacy or the Popes are the
Antichrist system. Or the many Antichrist described by John. The Book of Revelation describes events happening, in a
sense, in the present, but have been sort of going on for a long time. The view that I'm probably the most partial to is
the Catholic, evangelical, Puritan view where maybe the Roman Empire is the Katechon. In some sense, it never fell. It
gets reconstituted in other forms such as the East Roman Empire, the Holy Roman Empire. This is what Anso, Thomas
Aquinas believed. Or maybe even, it was not strictly the Roman Empire, but there were other kinds of things that could
be Katechontic over time.
I'll repeat: I'm a classically liberal, but insofar as I want to have a state, I want it to work, and most importantly, I want it
to stop the Antichrist. And if the Antichrist is in our future, which is what the Catholic evangelical view is, the Katechon is
an extremely important part of the present. You can have all these scriptural ways you can argue about this, but I want
to stress this is not a matter of scriptural exegesis, but simply a historical observation that our time is more apocalyptic
than of Claudius or Nero or of the16th century. More apocalyptic than any previous age, and it strips the Antichrist of his
role as an end step before apocalypse, suggests that he was in the past or has been with us since 476 AD.
Now, there are a lot of caveats on the Katechon. There's a way it's sort of violent and pagan. It's more good than bad for
its time, but not more good than bad for all time. It has a time bound component. Matthew 6:19: "lay not up for
yourselves treasures on earth where moth and rust doth corrupt, where thieves break through and steal." There are
individuals that could have been Katechontic: Charlemagne, Frederick II, Charles V, Metternich, maybe even Queen
Elizabeth II. But they were not around forever. They were around for a short time. They were Katechontic for their time,
not for all time.
Then of course, there is a way where the Bible has deconstructed culture. One interpretation of the version of the
Katechon was the Catholic Church, for a thousands years. They refused to translate the Bible into vernacular. And in
some ways this was Katechontic because if people started reading the Bible, they'd go crazy. And it worked for a while.
Eventually, 1453, Gutenberg invents the printing press. So it's something that, maybe it's good for its time, it's not good
for all time.
Of course, one of the paradoxes is that Christianity deconstructs violence, stopping the Antichrist. Christ reveals that
the powers and principalities, the empire, the Katechon, the state, are somewhat satanic. Once you see this
government is satanic, it can no longer function. This is the Carl Schmitt version where, in Concept of the Political, he
says "politics is the arbitrary division of the world into friends and enemies." And Schmitt thought he was being
Katechontic and strengthening politics. But when you show how the sausage making factory works, you sort of get
turned off on politics, and maybe it stops working altogether.
I can probably do a whole lecture on this. I'm going to just do this at lightning speed. So the Katechon asks what is to be
done. It's focused on the present. It's not on the side of the eschatons. It is sort of a pagan form of Christianity. It's not
pure Christian mercy, pure Christian justice. You can sort of have all these things that...it's the Christianity of
Constantine versus the Christianity of Mother Teresa. Sacred violence versus non-violence.
There's sort of financial versions. Dynastic wealth is sort of Katechontic, giving pleasures, giving away all your money.
The sort of cornucopian kingdom of heaven. A church that's richer than God is probably not that rich versus a post-
economic church that has no money. All these different kinds of things that cut on one side or the other. And I'll just
frame it as a question. There's a way that things on the left risk being retro, not quite working, dated, past their time.
The things that are on the right end up being extremely pure. They also run the risk of being almost more Christian than
Christ, maybe antichristic, things like that.
Ivan Illich, the Catholic theologian described the welfare state as an antichristic parody of the Good Samaritan., where
you're going to be forced to be a Good Samaritan. Or, I don't know, I don't think crypto versus AI is fully enough to drive
this. But I always think, if you could say crypto is libertarian is the decentralized world versus AI is the centralized future
thing. There's things that you can put into each of these categories.
And then the third conception of history is this very strange one called the Marian one. Which it's Mary, the mother of
Christ. Maybe she knows that Christ is going to die, but there's nothing wrong with hoping against hope that he doesn't
have to die, and that you can somehow make history turn out better. You don't want to jettison the Katechon. It's more
good than bad, it's necessary, but because it decays and it's focused on the present, we want to look to the future too.
And then the sense in which you can say these conceptions are exhaustive is that they're past, present, future. The
Great Parallel, the part where it's repetition of the past. The Katechon is what has to be done in the present. And then
Mary is the activist hope for the future. In some ways, you want to combine all three of these.
If you go back to the greatest Holy Roman Emperors of the Middle Ages, in some sense they combine all three. Past,
present, future. There's Charlemagne, 880. Frederick II, 1194 to 1250. Charles V, the Habsburg emperor at the time of
the New World. In some sense, it was the recreation of the Roman Empire. The Great Parallel, it was Katechontic
where they were stopping the forces of Islam from the Battle of Poitier in 732, to the end of the 1683, for a thousand
years. And then in some sense, it was a new and improved Roman Empire.. It was progressive. It was a Holy Roman
Empire. The Gates of Hercules was inscribed non plus ultra. You cannot go beyond these limits. Charles V's motto was
plus ultra. Or maybe the Holy Roman Empire was the new and improved Roman Empire in a way Christian democracy
in the 20th century in Europe was better than the empire. It was democracy, it was better than holy, it was Christian.
The super tricky question is always: at what point does the empire become evil? does it become bad? There's sort of
Christopher Columbus who, he was a propagandist, he interpreted his voyages as having sort of an apocalyptic
urgency and expansion of the empire. His enterprise to the Indies was simply a fulfillment of Isaiah's prophecy in Isaiah
42:1-4. "Behold my servant, I will uphold him, my elect, my soul lighteth in. I give him my spirit upon him and the islands
shall wait for his law." And his favorite verse in the Bible was John 10:16. "And other sheep I have which are not of this
fold, them also must bring, they shall hear my voice and there shall be one fold and one shepherd." He wasn't talking
about space aliens or anything like that.
In a way, Columbus thought that once he discovered the New World, the Great Commission was almost completed and
maybe there was only a century, century and a half left to go. I don't know exactly where one must go into the sort of
non-apocalyptic, syrupy all-positive account of globalization. But my candidate for something that's too far on the other
side is Wendell Wilkie's book One World. Wilkie was the Republican nominee for president in 1940. After he lost, FDR
send him on this trip around the world and he writes this book called One World. It's the best selling non-fiction book in
the US written until that point in time. And it has this sort of Hegelian inevitability and normativity. The unified One World
state is inevitable and also the reader should help support and build it. He meets Stalin in Moscow and it's this
wonderful charming man who dresses in light pastel shades. And then cooperation between the US and Russia is
desirable and inevitable.
This is always the question, of what point does it go too far. If we go to the fulfillment of the Great Commission, this is
again from Romans 10:14, "How many have not heard?" And you know, Columbus arriving in America, there's Captain
Cook in Australia in the 18th century. It's probably a pretty big place but not as big as the Americas. The upper right
picture are the North Sentinel Island natives. This is the island in the Andaman Ocean where the American missionary
John Chau tried to reach them in 2018 and got promptly killed. But he thought this was literally the last place in the
world that had not heard the gospel and it had this eschatological vibe.
The bottom right picture is from the Bible Museum in Washington DC, which I always think of as sort of this weirdly
atheist museum. Just all the rooms with not much in them. They're all just basically empty. But the most interesting
room is the one where they have all these Bibles that are being translated into all these different languages. The point
of it, in a way, is to reassure people that we're not in the end times. There still are thousands of languages the Bible
hasn't been translated into. Thousands where it's just partially translated. We still have a long, long way to go when
probably all these people already speak English and are on the internet. And everyone speaks English anyway.
I interpret this as a sort of psychological form of repression. This is the picture from December 1972, where you have
the image of the entire earth from space. The Blue Marble taken by astronauts on Apollo 17. No national boundaries,
30,000 miles away nations do not exist. The year Nixon went to China. To quote John Paul II from a February 2001
homily, which against sounds optimistic but we need to interpret as sort of an eschatological, almost apocalyptic.
Speaking to cardinals: "You come from 27 countries on four continents and speak various languages. Is this not a sign
of the church's ability? Now that she has spread to every corner of the globe to understand people with different
traditions and languages and bring to all the message of Christ." It's past tense. The Great Commission has been
fulfilled.
I always sort of wonder what functions as the Katechon in the world after 1945. This is Schmitt's 1947 diary. "I believe in
the Katechons for me the only possible way to understand Christian history and find it meaningful. The Katechon needs
to named for every epoch for the past 1948 years." The way I interpret this is that sotto voce, Schmitt is saying he has
no idea what the Katechon is. And maybe, the New Dealers are running the whole planet. Then of course, 1949 the
Soviets get the bomb and my sort of provisional answer is the Katechon for 40 years, from '49 to '89, is anti-
communism. Which is in some ways is somewhat violent, not purely Christian, but very, very powerful.
I've argued that the Katechon, or something like this, is necessary but not sufficient. And I want to finish by stressing
where one goes wrong with it. If we forget its essential role, which is to restrain the Antichrist, the Antichrist might even
present himself or itself or herself as the Katechon, or hijack the Katechon. This is almost a memetic version. A
similarity between the Antichrist and the Katechon, they're both sort of political figures. The Katechon is tied in with
empire and politics. If the Antichrist is going to take over the world, you need something very powerful to stop it.
Of course, you have all these examples where it's one toggle switch from Katechon to the antichristic thing. Claudius to
Nero, Charlemagne to Napoleon, anti-communism after the Berlin Wall comes down, it gets replaced by neoliberalism.
Which is, you know, the Bush 41 New World order, which you can think of as anti-communism where there's no
communists left. Or Christian democracy, which is sort of the European form of the Katechontic, ransnational anti-
communism. Once the communists are gone, it sort of decays into the Brussels bureaucracy. All kinds of different riffs
one could do with this. Or to go even further, if something is not powerful enough to potentially become the Antichrist, it
probably isn't that good as a Katechon.
And so the Katechon is this elusive Goldilocks life: a not too strong, not too weak, solution to our problem. If it's too
strong, it risks becoming the Antichrist. If it's too weak, it can't stop the Antichrist. So, how does one sort anything out in
this? We're talking in some ways about Katechon thanks to Schmitt, who deserves some credit for that. If I were to
critique him, it's that he talked about the Katechon at the expense of the Antichrist. All these from 1888 to 1985, all
these different essays he writes. There's an early one in 1916 where the Antichrist makes an appearance. And then it's
touched on in the most vague, elusive, cryptic sort of way.
This is from 1942, Schmitt's book Land and Sea. "To both the mythic beasts, Leviathan and Behemoth, the third would
be added a great bird. If one recognizes the explosive motors by means of which air machines are moved, then it
appears that it is the fire that is the additional genuinely new element of human activity." And so, you know, what is a
mythic beast that's a fiery bird? It is a dragon. And then Leviathan is the beast from the sea, the Antichrist. The dragon
is Satan. The Behemoth is the beast from the land, the false prophet, the sort of unholy Trinity. And so it's all this
language, but it's written in such a way, how is anybody supposed to figure this out? I met this person who translated it.
We explained to them this is the anti-Christian Trinity of Satan, Antichrist, false prophet. And they were like never
thought of that.
It's almost as though he wrote it not discussing more. His last book, Political Theology II written in 1970, he somehow
comes back to the Antichrist. At this point he's 82 years old, you are sort of post-respectability. You could say 80 is the
new 18. It's the age at which you are allowed to write irresponsibly.
The sort of interesting contrast is Deitrich Bonhoeffer, the anti-Nazi Lutheran pastor. He made a very strong case for
political violence. He made the case that Adolf Hitler was the Antichrist and joined the plot to assassinate Hitler in July
of 1944. And when you go through the Bonhoeffer history, there are all these ways he lays out the case. The Reich
church, the Nazi church, denied that Jesus fulfilled the prophecies of the Old Testament. Because he claimed that
Christ was Aryan, not Jewish, and therefore not of semitic descent. He sort of constantly comes back to this. The
Fuhrer could be a seducer or misleader. In 1935, he said "the Antichrist is not sitting in Rome or even in Geneva, but in
the Reich church government in Berlin."
In both the case of Bonhoeffer and Schmitt, the Antichrist gets censored. Schmitt censored himself, downplayed the
ways in which his ideas were sort of adjacent to Christianity. It wasn't academically respectable, people would think he
was deranged. Bonhoeffer gets remembered as sort of an anti-Hitler partisan, almost existentialist who acts on faith
alone. It's almost like a schizophrenic person who hears voices in their head or something like this. You can read all
sorts of books on Bonhoeffer, the historians censor all the Antichrist parts.
But perhaps it's hard to blame Schmitt too much or even the historians who write about Bonhoeffer because the
lockdown on the Antichrist has lasted for nearly four centuries. The Antichrist was debated ad nauseam in Medival
Europe. Popes, emperors, etc. were refusing to be the Antichrist. Perhaps most famously Frederick II and Joachim of
Fiore's prophecies from the 13th century. It builds to a crescendo in the 17th century. Protestants and Catholics are
accusing each other of being the Antichrist. Anglican Bishop John Jewel, 1565 in Britain. "There is none, neither old nor
young, neither learned nor unlearned, but he hath heard of Antichrist." Sort of really overdosed.
Then we touched on this last week. The Treaty of Westphalia 1648, this is a picture from the conference, ends the 30
Years War in Europe. The English Civil War ends and we decide that discussing something as fundamental as the
Antichrist is too dangerous.
And then we touched on sort of the last week, right? But the treaty of West failure 1648, this is a picture from from the
conference, ends the 30 years war in Europe, the English Civil War ends and we decide that discussing something as
fundamental as the Antichrist is too dangerous. I want to suggest this was not just this sort of minor, little thing that
doesn't get discussed. If you can't talk about the Antichrist on some level, you reduce Christianity, something holy
internal, that couldn't say anything about politics, history, or the particularity of Christ. Christianity becomes something
spiritual but not religious. It becomes very difficult to have honest conversations about some Christ comments. Matthew
10:34: "Think not that I am come to send peace on earth: I came not to send peace, but a sword." Luke 22:36: "...he
that hath no sword, let him sell his garment, and buy one" On and on. The Overton window just narrowed.
The way Chesterton writes about it in Orthodoxy in 1908: "His cosmos may be complete in every rivet and cog-wheel,
but still his cosmos is smaller than our world. Somehow his scheme, like the lucid scheme of the madman, seems
unconscious of the alien energies and the large indifference of the earth; it is not thinking of the real things of the earth,
of fighting peoples or proud mothers, or first love or fear upon the sea. The earth is so very large, and the cosmos is so
very small. The cosmos is about the smallest hole that a man can hide his head in."
The shift from exteriority to interiority. I always have this riff where the multiverse was a gateway drug to Boltzmann
brains and the matrix and escaping into yourself. Or to quote Leo Strauss: "People became so frightened of the ascent
to the light of the sun, and so desirous of making that ascent utterly impossible to any of their descendants, that they dig
a deep pit beneath the cave into which they were born..." this sort of multi-colored, artificially lit pit beneath the natural
cave.
You can call this period of darkness and slumber the enlightenment. And I do not question that it may have been good,
or even necessary for its time. But the world has changed a great deal since then.
We have since the Peace of Westphalia, we've had 377 years of history to catch up on as Christians. My modest hope
is that we can start doing so tonight. Thank you.
[END OF LECTURE]
[START OF INTERVIEW]
PETER ROBINSON
Peter, I've heard of an earlier version of these lectures. You and I have talked about them. We recorded a couple of
interviews on them a year and a half for Silo Hill. And I just listened to lecture two again. Of the four lectures, this one
strikes me as the densest, which is likely to be the case because I myself am so dense. But I'm going to take you, I
don't want you to repeat the lecture, but I want to make sure I understand some of the the basic concepts.
The literature, the literary comparisons on the Schmidt's three views of history. And then if I may take you to
understanding the Katechon correctly in our own day. All right. So, and I'm going to put, I'll give you sort of the overall
way I look at the four books that you mentioned, correct me if I've got even that wrong. It's important to mention these
books. Bacon, Swift, um, who's this other that Sam Wolfe knows about these right because One Piece. One Piece,
because otherwise we might get the idea that we're relying entirely on a 26 or 2800 year old piece of scripture in Daniel,
2000 year old piece of scripture in Revelation. And in fact, there is something going on with regard to notions of the
Antichrist, the end of the world, our views of science that infuse the whole culture and that shows up in these books.
Fair?
PETER THIEL
Yes.
PETER ROBINSON
All right. Man, why do you do all the work. Okay, so the New Atlantis, I'm going to recap the the uh the plot extremely
quickly. The European crew is lost in the Pacific. So right there we already have a clue. They're out exploring. There's
something new going on there. They discover an island in which the governing institution is a kind of um House of
Scientists. And uh it is commonplace. I looked up this book and looked at reviews of it and so forth and it is totally
commonplace in the literature to receive the New Atlantis a foreshadowing of the modern research enterprise. But
you're the only one who ties it into the argument about Antichrist. Just recapitulate that.
PETER THIEL
Well, it's uh in some ways, you know, early modern science was—it's complicated—but parts of it were complementary
to Christianity, and parts of it were a substitute for Christianity. In the classical world, if you said, “It's not fair that you
die,” Aristotle or Plato would say, “Well, that's just nature. That's just the natural order.” In a 17th–18th century context,
Christianity says that you have eternal life, and there's natural life, and you will be immortal and live forever. If science
has to cure that, then there's a way where it's linked to Christianity; maybe it's an alternative. So that sort of is part of
the animation.
Yeah, the Royal Society was modeled on the cause of six days works, and when people debated this—the British
scientists, the Royal Society—they actually made explicit reference to Bacon, and this is what he envisioned. And of
course there are already a lot of the weirdnesses of the modern research university there too, where it's extremely
specialized, and even though in theory it's run by the scientists, no single scientist really knows what's going on. And
Joe would be more of this political person. He's sort of the go-between, like a general secretary who talks to everybody,
and he's the one person who really knows what's going on. That's kind of why the general secretary was so powerful in
the Communist Polit Bureau: you were the secretary who talked to everybody, and then you somehow had all the
power. So it has a sort of political dimension and then raises, of course, all these questions—you know, how it works,
and on and on. But yes, I think there are all these ways where it's—yeah, it's—
It's meant to be—um—there are different ways of interpreting. You can interpret Bacon as a slightly heterodox Christian;
you can interpret it as this esoteric ancient knowledge, where it's like maybe, you know, the Egyptians or the Mayans
were rediscovering this lost knowledge from the past; or it can be something more futuristic and something new. And I
think that's the conception one should go with.
PETER ROBINSON
But at a minimum it represents something new in human history in the sense that here we see just springing forth full
form the pride of science. the the the the self-consciousness, the um vanity, the sense of of uh capacity of science, fair?
PETER THIEL
Well, it’s, in some ways, you know, early modern science was—it's complicated—but parts of it were complementary to
Christianity, and parts of it were a substitute for Christianity. In the classical world, if you said, “It’s not fair that you die,”
Aristotle or Plato would say, “Well, that’s just nature. That’s the natural order.” In a 17th–18th century context,
Christianity says that you have eternal life—there’s natural life, and you will be immortal and live forever. If science,
science has to cure that. And so there’s a way where maybe it’s linked to Christianity; maybe it’s an alternative. So
that’s part of the animation.
The Royal Society was modeled on the “cause of six days’ works,” and when people debated this—the British
scientists, the Royal Society—they actually made explicit reference to Bacon, and this is what he envisioned. And, of
course, a lot of the weirdnesses of the modern research university are there too: it’s extremely specialized and, even
though in theory it’s run by the scientists, no single scientist really knows what’s going on. And Joe would be more of
this political person—he’s the go-between, like a general secretary who talks to everybody, and he’s the one person
who really knows what’s going on. That’s kind of why the general secretary was so powerful in the Communist
Politburo: you were the secretary who talked to everybody, and then you somehow had all the power. So it has a
political dimension and then raises all these questions—how it works, and on and on. But yes, I think there are all these
ways where it’s a—yeah, it’s…
It’s meant to be—there are different ways of interpreting. You can interpret Bacon as a slightly heterodox Christian. You
can interpret it as esoteric ancient knowledge—maybe the Egyptians or the Mayans—we’re rediscovering this lost
knowledge from the past. Or it can be something more futuristic and new. And I think that’s the conception one should
go with.
Not quite. Well, yeah, but it basically assumes that it’s also, you know, optimistic. There are—you know—you can do
almost anything that’s possible. Empiricism can lead to this universal empire. And, yeah, there are parts of it that are
creepy, strange, and there’s always this question of whom is it really run. But I think the coded message is: yeah,
Bacon’s on the side of the Antichrist, and he thinks this is better; it’s a new and improved Christ. There are some creepy
parts, but it’s meant to be much more positive than negative.
PETER ROBINSON
And then we get to Swift and Gulliver exactly a century later. He publishes Gulliver’s Travels: the island of Laputa—who
knows how to pronounce it—this floating island that seems to be run by scientists. And Swift mocks them. Now, he
mocks politics, he mocks the legal system, he mocks humans in general; on the island he makes the Houyhnhnms—the
horses—rational, and the human beings, the Yahoos, irrational. But the important bit is that he treats the scientists as
fools. He refuses to take them seriously. Is that anti-science, or is it simply recognition that they’re human after all?
PETER THIEL
It doesn’t quite live up to what it’s expected to be, and there’s an early-modern part where Bacon probably had the
better part of the argument for a long time. But when we get to late modernity, there are elements of the Swift argument
that have obviously…
They have—there’s, you know—yes, we put more and more resources into it; we have diminishing returns. But I also
think the part that’s very different in late modernity is the way that the Antichrist is more anti-science than pro-science.
PETER ROBINSON
Right, which brings us to the Watchmen and One Piece. and um I don't know. help me here. uh basically I have to
convince me that a 1986, 1987 12 issue graphic novel reading comic book or this manga series. um well I think I I think
I did a lot on One Piece. there was a lot there. Um you know Watchmen is probably the the trickiest one but it's yeah
yeah it's um more sort of this nihilist atheist on some sense. but the Antichrist is like a show.
PETER THIEL
Not quite. It is, you know—the one-world state is the solution. It’s the solution to apocalyptic science. It’s like Elizer: you
need a one-world government to stop the AI. He’s not going to explicitly talk about the Antichrist, but it’s somehow very
close, and it’s unclear how much is authorial intent or just subconsciously coming out. There’s a way Alexander the
Great is a type of Antichrist: he’s a world conqueror. Christ and Alexander both died at 33. I’m going to do more work on
that in next week’s lecture. Ramses, you know, is the Pharaoh at the time of Moses. You can think of Moses as the Raw
Moses. The Egyptian pharaohs have the name of a god and an Egyptian name, and Moses—there’s no Egyptian god;
he doesn’t—so there’s a way Raw Moses is the anti-Moses, quite the Antichrist. But It’s sort of been closer to the line.
And then, of course, it’s very strange where Moore is late modern—he’s nihilistic. Eventually your luck’s going to run
out; you have to bet on the Antichrist. Obviously you want the one-world state, but eventually something’s going to
break down. This is, in some sense, what the nuclear-deterrence people believe: if you have nuclear deterrence, it’ll
work for a while; it wouldn’t work for all time—eventually there’d be an accident, something would go wrong. The
effective-altruist people think you should outlaw it, and on some level they also think you should just go to Burning Man
and do lots of drugs, because it’s not really going to work at the end of the day. So it’s probably the late-modernity thing
that’s very strange, but it still has a lot of power.
PETER ROBINSON
Okay. Got it. Now, this much I do have—this much I think I understand. You go from Francis Bacon, who is
tremendously optimistic about science, to One Piece and Watchmen, where everything has suddenly become dark—
more than dark: scary, frightening. You made this point in your first lecture that perhaps one reason technology seems
to be stagnating is that we wanted to stagnate; it scares us now. Okay. At this point I want to get under Schmidt, but I’d
like to see what you make of a thinker whose views strike me as close to yours; maybe, in commenting on him, it will
illuminate your own thinking a little more—may cast your own thinking into some useful light. And that’s Jacques
Maritain.
I think you and I may have mentioned this before, but I don’t think we’ve had a long conversation about it. Maritain is a
mid-20th-century Catholic philosopher, and he argues—put as briefly as I’ve seen it put—that what is happening in
history is that both sin (original sin in the Garden of Eden) and redemption (Christ’s resurrection), both of these, are
working their way out in history at the same time. And what that means is that things are getting worse and things are
getting better at the same time, which reminded me—when I heard you in the first lecture last week talk about the dual-
use problem—of nuclear energy and nuclear bombs. Technology becomes more and more powerful; it can do more and
more for the good, and yet at the same time it becomes scarier and scarier. So here’s what Maritain wrote—I’ll give you
a couple sentences of him: “By a phenomenon that responds to profound laws”—you used the phrase this evening
“deep logic,” “profound laws”; we’ve gotten onto something like the same idea—“by a phenomenon that responds to
profound laws, the degradation of human conduct that is getting worse is accompanied by a progress in human
consciousness and in moral knowledge.” And Maritain goes on to refer to the parable of the wheat and the tears: good
and evil grow together until the final harvest.
Does that get at something like the way you view history?
PETER THIEL
Yes, although I think there’s a version Girard liked to quote—something like “things get better and worse all the time.”
The place where I push back a little is that Maritain is a Thomist-Aristotelian; these are timeless and eternal categories.
I want to give more of a one-time, world-historical account. That sentence somehow combines both: there’s a direction,
but it’s both better and worse—so there’s a direction to history, and there’s a timeless and eternal character to it.
Years ago I said the 20th century was the greatest and most terrible century in history, and there’s every reason to
expect the 21st century to be both greater and more terrible. But the caveat: at some point the “and” breaks down. Is
there a point where it can really be greater and more terrible? At some point it doesn’t go on forever. History does have
a destination.
And so there is some logic in the Maritain view that I think is very true, but he says it in such a way that you get a sense
we still have a really long time to go, and I want to push back on that. It’s like the Bible museum with the thousands of
untranslated Bibles.
PETER ROBINSON
So let's take the three conceptions of history—Schmidt's three conceptions of history—and I want to make very sure
that I, and everyone here, understands those three. And I figure: treat me as a slow student, which I am; if I understand
them, by the time I understand them everyone will.
Okay, the great parallel. Now, as I understand Schmidt, these three conceptions come from a 1950 article that he wrote.
The great parallel: he's referring here to the tendency of modern thinkers to draw an analogy between their own time
and the end time of the Roman Empire.
The Roman Empire fades as Christianity comes on. And so what he is talking about here is an impulse—a desire for
something new, a recognition that we live in old structures, and a desire to see them replaced by something new,
something fresh. That would be the parallel to the emergence of Christianity in the shell of the Roman Empire.
Have I got that? I don't think I have it quite yet.
PETER THIEL
I think the Roman Empire part is the continuity with the past. The Katechon is what’s new about the present—what we
need to do—and the Marian is somehow looking to the future. They all have an anti-cyclical vibe. There were all these
Weimar intellectuals, and Schmidt was relatively unusual in being vaguely adjacent to Christianity in a weird way. Most
Weimar thinkers were not Christian; their view was cyclical, timeless, eternal—nothing new under the sun. He sends the
essay to Armand Müller, who wrote an anthology of Weimar thinkers, with the note: from a “not fully dechristianized
scapegoat” on the theme of cycles. He thinks of it as a refutation of a cyclical view: combine these three—past, present,
future—and there’s some meaning in history. So the great parallel is the continuity with the past.
PETER ROBINSON
The Katechon takes us to the present. Let's take a moment or two on the Katechon because that is central to your
thinking and to the to the lectures to come, lectures three and four. So if I may, let me set this up. So we've got St. Paul
in 2nd Thessalonians 2:7, for the mystery of lawlessness is already at work, only he who now restrains in Greek
Katechon, only he who now restrains will do so until he is taken out of the way.
St. Paul gives us a brief mysterious passage. St. Augustine says he has in the St. Augustine is in the fifth early fifth
century and he says I have no idea what this means and you doubt that he had no idea what it meant. But in any event,
we have John Henry Newman, whom I mentioned last time because you he gave four lectures in 1835, you're giving
four lectures in 2025.
Here's what I've quoted from Newman last week. "The subject may be summed up as follows that the coming of Christ
will be immediately preceded by a very awful and unparalleled outbreak of evil." This is Newman summing up the
church fathers. In the midst of which a certain terrible man of sin and sin and child of predition, the Antichrist will appear.
Okay. This week, let me continue with another sentence or two that this will be when revolutions prevail and the present
framework of society breaks to pieces, that at present the spirit which he will embody, the Antichrist is kept under by the
powers that be, but that on their dissolution, the Antichrist will rise.
So that's the that's the Katechon as the church fathers understood it, the framework of society or the powers that be.
Fair?
PETER THIEL
You can call it the empire, the powers and principalities—the state, the government, the old institutions. The family is a
Katechontic thing; maybe dynastic wealth is a catacontic thing. Why not big-K Katechons? They’re part of this structure.
There are Katechon-versus-Eschaton layers all the way down. I’ve often said I prefer the Christianity of Constantine to
that of Mother Teresa, but it obviously doesn’t work literally. If you grab a sword and mount a horse, that’s not even
viable military tech—by the Crimean War, the Charge of the Light Brigade proved as much.
Constantine isn’t exactly saint material: the “first Christian emperor” who wasn’t baptized until his deathbed, because he
believed that as emperor he had to do a lot of very non-Christian things. He can’t quite be a saint like Mother Teresa. So
the Constantinian model has pagan elements—useful, or more good than bad for a time—but they won’t work for all
time.
PETER ROBINSON
I was struck that this evening you mentioned Queen Elizabeth II, and I wanted to tease you out on that one because it
may not be Constantine, but at the same time she died within living memory even of Sam Wolfe here.
So there's a moment where we could see the before and after of the Katechon, and I felt when she died, or actually I felt
I was in London earlier this summer, and it became I thought it became clear to me, but I thought I was a crazy person.
And now I hear you who are not a crazy person say something, well, I'll tell you what I felt then you tell me what what
you mean by Queen Elizabeth II is a catacon, that it was as if in her very person, she was sustaining and maintaining a
particular notion of Englishness.
PETER THIEL
Or the British Empire. The moment she died, you could feel it dissipate. Maybe it had been gone for a long time. She
became queen in 1952—about 70 years to 2022. In ’52 they’d lost India, but most of the rest was still intact. People
from her time remembered the empire; by around 1970 it was mostly gone. There’s something catacontic there—
probably not very strong.
PETER ROBINSON
All right. The Marian vision. You move fast on this one. And so this this one I think I I want to come back to to ask you to
elaborate. Schmitt sees history as forever changed by that singular event. The incarnation, Christ through Mary. Now as
best I can tell, here Schmitt holds a view that in some ways is quite close to the the German Schmitt holds a view that in
some ways is quite close to that of the Frenchman Matin, that everything that has happened since the incarnation is a
working out of that event in history. That's fair?
PETER THIEL
At the same time, it implies a missionary impulse—it implies something religious that we all ought to be doing. It’s an
activist faith: there’s a hope that you can do more than just preserve some remnant of the past—more than the purely
defensive Katechon. Anything purely defensive doesn’t quite work.
And, again, we can debate this, but I think these prophecies aren’t meant to be written in stone. It’s not inevitable that
the Antichrist will take over. Maybe it’s likely—maybe it’s the default—but it’s like Jonah going to Nineveh, or even what
I said about Christ: he tells people to pray; they fall asleep; Christ gets arrested. The natural way to read it is that things
could have gone differently there. We don’t know how this ends.
So, yes, in some sense it’s right: things are getting better and worse all the time—and at some point they will either get
better or worse. At some point, it goes one way or the other.
PETER ROBINSON
Right. All right. Now I'd like to return to your treatment of the Cold War. And I worked really hard on this period. So when
you bat it away, just do so gently, all right?
Empire sees itself as a bullwork against the rise of Islam, which again, the struggle against Islam, well, the struggle
against Islam isn't over to now, but the Holy Roman Empire struggles against Islam for a thousand years. We often
forget that the Vienna was besieged as recently as 1683. And then the Marian vision, the emperor sought to expand the
empire in explicitly Christian terms.
You argue that from '45 to '89, the great Katechon was anti-communism. And again, if I understand you correctly, you
you see two out of three of Schmidt's views of history represented in the struggle against communism.
For four decades, we have not a Pax Romana, but a Pax Americana. The Catacon is the American led coalition to
contain, stand against communism. But you argue that it wasn't purely Christian, which I read as the Marian vision was
lacking.
And here, I would like to suggest, oh goodness, I would like to suggest that Peter Thiel rethink that point. So let me
quote to you a speech that Ronald Reagan delivered in 1987. In that speech he said, Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this
wall. He delivered this.
PETER THIEL
Who wrote that line?
PETER ROBINSON
All I know is he was underpaid.
PETER ROBINSON
And that's all that anybody remembers about that speech anymore. But let me quote another couple from that speech.
I'll speak very slowly in case you'd like to memorize it.
This is Ronald Reagan in 1987 standing in front of the Berlin Wall. "The totalitarian world produces such backwardness
because it does such violence to the spirit, fording the human impulse to create, to enjoy, to worship. Then Reagan
goes on to describe a structure that was visible to his audience behind him, behind the wall, the East Germans had built
a television tower." Reagan says, "ever since constructing that tower, the authorities have been working to correct what
they view as the tower's one major flaw, treating the glass sphere at the top with paints and chemicals of every kind. Yet
even today when the sun strikes that sphere, that sphere of the towers over all Berlin, the light makes the sign of the
cross." That's a president of the United States in a pretty big foreign policy address in the final phase of the Cold War.
So, I think I'd like to suggest very timorously, Peter, that in the great American effort to defeat communism, the Christian
vision was actually central.
PETER THIEL
Well, you started by saying “purely,” now you shut to the central. That’s a slight illusion.
I think it was very, very important—you know, my riff on the Reagan coalition was always that it was this weird alliance
of social conservatives, free-market libertarians, and defense hawks. What do the priest, the millionaire, and the general
have in common? It’s a really weird coalition. What are they going to talk about if you get these three people in a room?
Completely different value systems: the millionaire thinks you’re supposed to make money; the priest thinks you should
be virtuous and pure; the general thinks you should get a gun and go fight. What they had in common was that they
were anti-communist, and all the important differences got faded in that.
My formative political idea—junior high school, late 1970s—was anti-communism. It wasn’t lame libertarian
abstractions. And what was powerful about anti-communism was that you had a lot of freedom; you did not have to be a
totally goody-two-shoes person. You could do some pretty bad stuff because the communists were so much worse.
So, I’ll concede it had the Christianity of Constantine; it’s not entirely the Christianity of Mother Teresa. It’s still strange in
my mind how the Cold War ever ended as successfully as it did. I’ll concede there was something nearly miraculous
about what happened in ’89. When I was about 20—undergraduate at Stanford in the late ’80s—a group of us got
dinner with Edward Teller, the father of the H-bomb. He worked at Los Alamos, a Jewish Hungarian refugee, very anti-
communist. It was bracing: the 80-year-old Teller told us that if you put him in charge, he would roll the tanks into
Hungary right away. He was not intimidated by nuclear weapons; he was not scared. I didn’t know all that Dr. Strange
love was sort of based on him; I didn’t quite know that. There were ways in which Teller was somewhat marginal, but
not totally. That was part of the mix too; fortunately it didn’t dominate. But without someone like that, maybe it wouldn’t
have quite worked.
You know, the RAND Corporation, Southern California—this Herman Khan, a not-really-Christian, futuristic writer—
wrote On Thermonuclear War (1960), a follow-up on Clausewitz’s On War, which basically said: we need to plan how to
win a nuclear war. Maybe 50 of the biggest U.S. cities would be destroyed, but we’d still figure out a way to win.
Dr. Strange was also modeled on him. I don’t know how important it was. It’s fortunate that didn’t dominate, but it was
part of the mix too, surely. At some point, all of this was too much for Gorbachev, I think.
We don’t have anything like that in the mix today. The RAND Corporation is run by Jason, an effective altruist, and what
they’re pushing for is not a strategy to win a nuclear war—it’s global compute governance. So it’s Bostrom, Kurzweil,
the one-world state to control time. We’re in a very, very different zone from the ’70s and ’80s. But you can’t do history
twice. It was some combination of all these things that came together.
PETER ROBINSON
All right, I'll come back to you on that, but only after lecture three. At this moment, I am under orders to turn over the
floor to Sam Wolfe, who, however, is under orders after a few questions to turn it back to me.
[END OF INTERVIEW]
[START OF AUDIENCE Q&A]
SAM WOLFE
Okay, we'll start with a question from Josh. Mark 12:17 says, give what is Caesar's to Caesar, give what is God's to
God. What is your interpretation of this verse with respect to the Antichrist and Catecon? Have we become too passive
with regards to the state?
PETER THIEL
Yeah, this is like the Romans verse I quoted, where there’s a way to read it as: you should just be happy to pay all your
taxes. But there’s also a Straussian, coded, subversive way I’m tempted to read Christ: you have to ask what is
Caesar’s and what is God’s—and maybe it’s not for Caesar to decide what is Caesar’s and what is God’s. It suggests
you’re not simply aligned with Caesar. Certainly the Roman emperors didn’t believe Christianity was pro-empire in every
form. And you have to read it in a context that wasn’t an Enlightenment society where everyone could say what they
thought. So there’s one interpretation of “give unto Caesar that which is Caesar’s” as “okay, pay all the taxes,” and
another that’s quite anti-Caesarist. I’d lean into the latter.
SAM WOLFE
Question from Julia. Rene Girard's thesis is that Jesus presents the model for breaking the regular process of memetic
ritual sacrifice. Girard and Jesus are concerned with a humanity that can be redeemed here on earth. The Book of
Revelation is concerned with our future if we are not redeemed. How can we understand Girard in light of this? Hav
you, Peter, moved against your old teacher?
PETER THIEL
I don’t think—it’s not that I want to go through all the ways I mostly agree with Gerard. I think, you know, Gerard’s catch-
all answer was always: if you ask the political question of what should be done, he would deflect and say, “You should
go to church.” That was some kind of answer like that. And it didn’t mean he was completely indifferent to politics. He
had a lot of thoughts about it: he liked De Gaul, kind of liked Reagan, and was skeptical of Bush 43. So there was a way
in which it wasn’t what he chose to focus on, but he definitely thought about all these different things.
SAM WOLFE
Okay, here are a couple I'll read in succession. Sebastian asks, is space exploration and building civilizations on the
moon or Mars an alternative to the one world state? And relatedly, Pavel asks, is Elon's anti-Katecon? And if so, how
should we expect it to play out?
PETER THIEL
What I have on, you know, Elon’s shift from science and tech to politics in the last few years—where somehow that
Demis line seeped in. And Mars: part of the Mars project is scientific and technological, but the political part, you know,
is—Is it really an alternative, or will the woke AI or the socialist U.S. government follow you to Mars? There’s some level
where I think Elon gave up on Mars as a political project in the last few years. That’s the way I would understand what
he did.
SAM WOLFE
Somewhat relatedly, we had several questions. I'll just choose Lucas is here. UFO or UAP disclosures, a post-modern
common enemy or how would you understand them in your framework
PETER THIEL
I think they’re so fake. Right? It’s always my econ-one placeholder that, you know, um—well, if you have ideas that are
really dangerous and can’t be articulated, my shorthand is those are probably true. If you have ideas that sound
controversial but no one ever gets in trouble for them, you should be very skeptical. And so, if you imagine a Joe Rogan
who talks about UFOs and a Joe Rogan who does not, the one who talks about UFOs will always get more ratings in a
way that’s pretty safe—you’ll never get deplatformed. It’s a completely safe thing to talk about because, um, the aliens
probably don’t exist. If they exist, they’re probably inert; they don’t interact with us.
You know, it’s—uh, I don’t know—Roswell was 1946; that’s 79 years ago. 47—78 years ago. It’s not been a very… and
you want to go into fields where there’s progress, where there are new discoveries. And so, even if the UFOs are real,
the cloaking technology or whatever it is must be extraordinarily good: they can cloak themselves, or they can scramble
people’s brains, or people are so scared they censor themselves. But on some level, I don’t think it’s likely to be an area
that’s scientifically generative—although it works for, um, getting clicks on podcasts. And so, you know, it’s something
that’s perfectly safe; you’ll never get burned. You know, the game all these people play is that you’re always supposed
to go right up to the line. If you cross the line, you get in trouble. If you are too far from the line, it’s really not interesting.
You’re supposed to go right up to the line, right up to the fire, almost get burned—and the UFOs are this, yeah, perfectly
safe topic, which tells you that people are spending way too much time on them, and they’re fake—and right there.
SAM WOLFE
We had several questions about AI and LLMs. I'll read Patricia's here. Can you please elaborate on your view of the
Gutenberg press and reading it reading the Bible in the vernacular as good for its time but not all time. LLMs in the
hands of the masses feel like a Gutenberg moment, decimally deranging. How does this moment relate to the Katechon
concept?
PETER THIEL
I said you can understand the Catholic Church’s desire not to translate the Bible into the vernacular in the Middle Ages.
Once people started reading it, you got this crazy Reformation; within 20 years of Martin Luther, you got the Anabaptist
at Monster. It sort of gets crazier and crazier. And so there is a way that, if you can stop it, it’s okay. But once the
Gutenberg press is invented, it doesn’t work anymore, and history has moved on.
There’s a version of this with the internet; there’s a version of this with AI. Maybe these things are good or bad—
stopping them seems far, far worse. If the internet or AI deranges some people and we shut it down altogether, that
feels like out of the frying pan into the fire—far worse than the disease. The internet deranged people; it polarized
things; there are all these anti-internet arguments one can make. I don’t know how you could have stopped it. And the
counterfactual is: with the mainstream media, it would have gotten even more deranged if it hadn’t been for the internet.
Stagnation isn’t neutral; the default is that things maybe get a lot worse.
So you have to have a counterfactual view on AI. It’s a form of progress—it’s very uneven. It’s a very uneven way to
grow the economy. Maybe some people go crazy. There are all sorts of good and bad things. But if we shut it down and
don’t do it, and you become, I don’t know, like Europe—redoing Groundhog Day—that’s going to be even less pleasant.
SAM WOLFE
Before I turn it back to Peter Robinson, I'll have a compound question to answer. The first part is from Will. What do
most people get wrong about the enlightenment? And the second part is from Maron. What model of Christianity are
you trying to return to? When you say we have 377 years to catch up, when was Christianity in a form that you would be
satisfied by?
PETER THIEL
It was a sort of specialization—the pin factory in Adam Smith—where people got more and more specialized. In some
ways it got narrowed. Perhaps it was a strategic retreat of sorts that was right for the 18th century, because if people
talked too much about the Antichrist, the Catholics and Protestants would just kill each other, and this wasn’t productive.
But I think, yeah, at some point the lobotomies are just too much.
And, you know, I keep thinking there is a way that we have these sort of fake debates in a super-narrow Overton
window. Maybe that’s too political a way to put it, but I think you have a sort of zombie gerontocracy—zombie liberalism.
I don’t think we’re going to find solutions to our political, cultural, and social problems inside this incredibly narrow
Overton window. I want to go back and explore the much bigger questions: how does it all fit together? What does it
mean? And, yeah, in my telling it’s been a very, very long time since we’ve even tried to do this.
SAM WOLFE
Peter Robinson.
PETER ROBINSON
You just set up lecture three in which you'll be talking about Benedict the 16th and the Regensburg address. So anyone
who finds this question interesting, stay tuned for next week. Two final questions for you.
And the first begins with two different views of what must be done. Here's Rene, Rene Girard. "The apocalypse is not
some invention. Either we're going to love each other or we're going to die. Here's Carl Schmitt. I believe in the
Catecon, it is for me the only possible way to understand Christian history and to find it meaningful."
As I understand it, Rene calls us to look inside ourselves, it's an interior conversion that he was principally concerned
with. similar to the point you made just a moment ago. Schmidt calls us to participate in the great drama of the rise and
fall of empires of restraint and and delay. He wants us to look outside ourselves to social or political structures. Now, the
summons are by no means mutually exclusive, but I take it that it is the second summons, the effort to reconstruct a
Katechon that is your principal concern.
PETER THIEL
I think it’s, um, I mean, there are all sorts of caveats: some version is necessary, it’s not sufficient, it has a time-decay
function attached to it. There were things Schmidt did that he thought were restraining and turned out to be
accelerations. So the stuff is non-trivial to get right. But I also think Girard, you know, did not think that you should
jettison everything, you know, and he said it’s nuanced and complicated. You could say that, you know, the family
contains a lot of badness in it, and you can also say the family is actually pretty weak. So the patriarchal family,
according to Gerard, was already ridiculous at the time when Freud wrote about it in the 1900s. This notion that you had
some sort of tyrannical father who scared everybody was a preposterous myth, according to Girard. But then, you know,
he also had some sort of conservative instincts—that you’re not going to find, you know, liberation just in madness and
murder.
I’ve been reflecting a lot on Girard’s turn from academia to Catholicism in the 1980s and 1990s, and I think there was
some sense where he was maybe on the anti-political-correctness, anti-woke debates in the college context. He didn’t
necessarily care about all the particular issues, but he knew that in a world where everything was politicized, there
would be no place for him. Someone like him, who got a tenured position at Stanford in ’79, by 1989 would never have
been hired. And on some level, you know, there was—yeah—some way that, you know, he…and this was what was so
powerful: it was systematic, trying to integrate, you know, all these different things.
PETER ROBINSON
Last question. To anticipate just slightly lectures three and four. My suggestion about the Cold War that Christianity
played a central role. If that's right, then does it follow that after what we've been through since the end of the Cold War,
it would be useful, I'm using useful now, not right, not just useful in reconstructing the Catecon to reassert some aspect
or element of Christianity in American public life. And is something like that what we just saw at Charlie Kirk's funeral?
That people were responding to the Christian message in some sense as people have responded to it for 2,000 years,
it's compelling.
There are those of us who believe it's true. But they were also responding as Americans. They felt a need for Marco
Rubio and JD Vance and Erica Kirk to say what they said. Is there something to that?
PETER THIEL
Man, this is so far above my pay grade and I don't know what it all is.
PETER ROBINSON
It isn't about your pay grade.
PETER THIEL
I think, um—what to say—I was thinking about, you know, I had the chart: the Katechon pagan Christianity versus the
Eschaton—the Christianity of Constantine versus that of Mother Teresa. We had an illustration of that with Kirk’s wife
saying that she forgave the murderers because that’s what Christ would do. This was an incredibly saintly form of
Christianity. And then, you know, President Trump—
I don’t know—I forget the language exactly—but, you know, Charlie was into forgiving, being nice to his enemies. He
doesn’t believe in being nice to his enemies; he wants to hurt his enemies. And that’s sort of the pagan Christian view.
And the problem—the naive view—is: there has to be something somewhere in between, right? But how do you
concretize that? What’s the thing that’s in between Mother Teresa and Constantine—between forgiving the murderer
and delighting in punishing your enemies? Perhaps, I don’t know, perhaps the in-between thing I thought was that
maybe Trump and Elon were able to forgive each other.
[END OF AUDIENCE Q&A]